Fixed versus flexible exchange-rate regimes: Do they matter for real exchange-rate persistence?

Paul Bergin, Reuven Glick, Jyh-lin Wu, 4 October 2012

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Flexible exchange rates have been praised in economic theory as a mechanism for helping relative prices adjust between countries in response to shocks to relative supply and demand (Friedman 1953). In this view, fluctuations in the real exchange rate, measuring the relative cost of living across countries, are a welcome thing.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions, Monetary policy
Tags: exchange-rate policy

The limits of a purely intra-euro rebalancing strategy

Zsolt Darvas, 5 September 2012

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The perceived failure of Greece, Portugal, and Spain to achieve sustainable external positions and economic growth inside the Eurozone is a major factor behind the current crisis. Their trade deficits should be turned to sizeable surpluses in which real exchange rate developments should play a role.

Topics: EU policies, Europe's nations and regions, Monetary policy
Tags: Eurozone crisis, exchange-rate policy, Greece, Portugal, Spain

Small open economies have to be managed differently: devaluation is contractionary in both the short and long run

DeLisle Worrell, 23 June 2012

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There is a fallacy at the root of most of the discussion of the European economic crisis, and it is that countries like Greece would have the option to grow their economies through exchange rate depreciation, were they outside the Eurozone.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions, Global economy, Monetary policy
Tags: Barbados, Eurozone crisis, exchange-rate policy, Greece

Foreign-exchange intervention and the fundamental trilemma of international finance: Notes for currency wars

Michael Bordo, Owen F Humpage, Anna J Schwartz, 18 June 2012

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In the mid-1990s, many of the large developed countries ended their activist approach to foreign-exchange-market intervention. Yet while these operations faded, they never disappeared. The Great Recession recently piqued interest in them, as exchange-rate volatility increased and threats of currency wars were heard (see Neely 2011).

Topics: International finance
Tags: exchange-rate policy, financial trilemma

On Inflation Targeting and Forex Intervention: Are Two Targets Better Than One?

Jonathan D Ostry, Atish R Ghosh, Marcos Chamon, 27 May 2012

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The global financial crisis has reminded emerging market economies, if they needed reminding, that capital flows can be highly volatile and that crises need not be home grown. Emerging markets have been affected in a variety of ways, not least by the sharp ups and downs in exchange rates that volatile capital flows engender.

Topics: Monetary policy
Tags: emerging markets, exchange-rate policy, monetary policy

How should Japan’s current exchange rate be viewed?

Takatoshi Ito, Junko Shimizu, 20 March 2012

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Japan is frequently cited by US and European commentators as a warning of what could happen to their economies (see, for instance, Muellbauer and Murata 2011). We hear less, however, about what is happening now.

Topics: Global crisis, International finance, International trade
Tags: exchange-rate policy, Japan

The renminbi’s prospects as a global reserve currency

Eswar Prasad, Lei (Sandy) Ye, 16 February 2012

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Popular discussions about the prospects of China’s currency – the renminbi – range from the view that it is on the threshold of becoming the dominant global reserve currency to the concern that rapid capital-account opening poses serious risks for China.

Topics: International finance, International trade
Tags: China, exchange-rate policy, globalisation, renminbi

Shifting motives: Explaining the build-up in official reserves in emerging markets since the 1980s

Atish R Ghosh, Jonathan D Ostry, Charalambos Tsangarides, 6 February 2012

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Over the past few decades, despite greater exchange-rate flexibility, emerging economies have been accumulating large stocks of international reserves. Reserve holdings, which averaged about 5% of GDP in the 1980s, have been doubling every decade since, reaching some 25% of GDP by 2010.

Topics: Development, International finance, International trade
Tags: Emerging-market economies, exchange-rate policy, foreign exchange reserves

Sovereign ratings when default can come explicitly or via inflation

Charles A.E. Goodhart, 2 February 2012

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Topics: International trade, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: Eurozone crisis, exchange-rate policy, France, UK

Does the renminbi matter? Evidence from China’s disaggregated processed exports

Willem Thorbecke, 29 January 2012

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China’s surging exports and its exchange rate have elicited consternation from economists, politicians, and pundits. How would a stronger renminbi affect China’s exports and its trade surplus? China’s entire surplus is in a customs regime called processing trade.

Topics: Exchange rates, International trade
Tags: China, exchange-rate policy, exports

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